Crop insurance history on a parcel tells you more than the soil map does
A conversation this week stopped me: someone assumed the PI rating on a parcel was enough to anchor their offer. The PI is a starting point, but what the actual tenant has collected in indemnity payments over the last five to seven years says something the soil survey cannot. Frequent claims on ground with a 130 PI means the drainage, compaction, or microclimate is doing something the index does not capture. Clean history on a 118 PI parcel in the same county might mean the tenant is a better operator, or it might mean the ground drains in ways the rating underweights, and either answer changes the cap rate conversation.
The data is not hard to get. The FSA office holds APH records by tract, and a seller who will not help you request them is a seller worth slowing down with. You are looking for claim frequency, not just claim size, because one large event in a drought year tells you almost nothing about the ground itself, while three claims in five years on a parcel three miles from a neighbor who filed zero times tells you something real.
The number I would anchor on for a cash rent deal: what rent does the trailing indemnity history imply the tenant actually needed to stay whole, and does the current lease reflect that or does it assume the best version of the ground every year? If the rent is priced on the PI and the insurance history is showing stress, the income projection is optimistic before you have done a single other thing wrong.
What is your process for pulling FSA records before you set an offer price, and has a seller ever pushed back on that request?