Success fee on a repositioning engagement, or just eat the retainer?
Owner has a 96-unit 1980s garden complex, 71% occupied, in-place rents about 380 under a comp set I don't fully trust. They want advice on whether to reposition or sell as-is. Scope is roughly six weeks of work: unit-by-unit condition review with their PM, a renovation cost build from two GC walkthroughs, a rent premium test on the eight units they already turned, and a hold/sell model.
I quoted 22k flat. They came back asking for 8k retainer plus 1.5% of the lift in appraised value if they follow the recommendation and it works. Their number, not mine.
Two things bother me. First, the measurement problem. Appraised value moves with cap rates, and if the market compresses 50bps my "lift" is mostly not my work. Second, the incentive problem. If I'm paid on lift I'm structurally biased toward recommending the reposition, and based on what I've seen so far the right answer might be sell.
Has anyone made a contingent structure work on advisory where the recommendation itself might be "do nothing"? And is there a version where the fee attaches to something I actually control, like realized rent premium on the first 20 renovated units, rather than a valuation number?