One of the two storefronts has been dark since spring
Under contract at $1.15M on a corner building in a walkable inner-ring suburb, closing in five weeks if I don't kill it. Six one-bedrooms upstairs, all leased, average $1,050 and probably $100 under market because the seller hasn't touched rents in three years. Ground floor is two bays. The 1,200 sf bay has an insurance agency at $14/sf modified gross with 14 months left and no renewal option. The 1,800 sf bay has been empty since spring, last tenant was a sandwich shop that closed.
My underwriting has the vacant bay at $16/sf NNN, which is what the broker's comps say, with nine months of downtime and $35/sf of tenant improvement money. That's about $63k of TI plus roughly $22k of lost rent before a first check arrives. Residential covers debt service on its own at the quoted terms, barely, so the retail is upside rather than survival. That's the part I like.
What I can't settle is the leasing decision I'll be making the week after closing. There's a nail salon operator who has said $12/sf gross, five years, wants a small TI contribution, could sign in 60 days. There's also a local coffee roaster who wants the corner glass, would pay closer to $18 NNN, but needs a grease interceptor and a longer permit path and won't commit before spring.
Salon money starts almost immediately and de-risks year one. Coffee changes what the building is and probably what the apartments rent for. I don't know how to weigh the second thing without inventing a number for it. What would you check before you signed either one?