The loan only pencils on the borrower's ARV, not mine
Rehab deal in front of me. Purchase 240k, rehab budget 85k, so all-in cost 325k. Borrower's ARV is 430k off three comps, two of which are on a street with newer builds and bigger lots. My own pull says 385k is the honest resale, maybe 395k if the finish level actually lands where the scope says.
He's asking for 300k total, 240k at close plus a 60k rehab holdback, and putting 25k of his own in. On his ARV that's 70 percent. On mine it's 78 percent, which is outside anything I'm comfortable with. At 70 percent of 385 I can fund 269.5k, which leaves him short about 55k he says he doesn't have.
What I'm stuck on is whether the ARV cap is even the right constraint here. If I size to as-is value instead, my as-is is around 250k, and 70 percent of that is 175k, which doesn't buy the property. Everyone in this space seems to underwrite to ARV, but ARV is a forecast of somebody else's execution. Points are 3 and I'd want 11.5, twelve month term.
How do experienced lenders reconcile the as-is floor against the ARV cap when the two disagree by 45k? And do you ever fund a deal where the borrower's own cash is thinner than the gap between the two valuations?