Ground lease under the chain, or fee simple with the building on it
Two offerings on my desk this week, same national dollar-store tenant archetype, same small midwest trade area, roughly the same check.
One is fee simple, 9,200 square foot box, 14 years left, 6.9 on the ask. The other is the ground only. Tenant built and owns the improvements, 45 years of term with bumps, 5.6 on the ask, and I own dirt with a building sitting on it that I did not pay for.
The case for the ground position is that I can't be handed a roof, a parking lot, or a structural claim, my basis is in land that doesn't depreciate, and if the tenant ever stops paying I'm senior to their leasehold. The case against is that 130 basis points is a lot of yield to give up for a reversion I will probably never see, and at 45 years my exit is always a sale to someone else pricing the same low coupon in whatever rate environment exists then.
The case for fee simple is obvious. More current income, and at year 14 I actually control what happens to a real building. The case against is that all the physical risk the lease pushes to the tenant comes back to me the day they leave, and I own a purpose-built box in a town with three plausible replacement tenants.
My own answer keeps flipping depending on whether I underwrite a hold or a resale. Curious where the room lands.
Same total check, same tenant. Which position would you rather own?
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