Zero debt versus 45 percent leverage on a passively held office building
Two structures on the same kind of office asset produce fundamentally different risks rather than just different returns. Structure one is all cash: a 78,000 sf building bought unlevered, no maturity date, no covenant, no lender to negotiate with. Nothing forces a sale. What can happen instead is a slow bleed. Two tenants roll, the reserve funds the re-tenant effort, the distribution drops to zero for six or eight quarters, and the owner holds a building paying nothing while taxes and base building costs keep running. Nobody takes the asset away. It simply stops producing income, which is the entire reason it was bought. Structure two carries roughly 45 percent leverage on the same asset. Distributions run meaningfully higher while occupancy holds. There is also a maturity date, and office refinancing conditions have broken more deals this cycle than leasing has. Office CMBS delinquency hit 12.34 percent in early 2026, an all-time high, and a large share of the commercial debt maturing through the end of 2026 is office. Anyone underwriting refinance assumptions today needs current terms confirmed with an actual lender in writing, since numbers from even six months ago can be stale. The case for leverage is that no debt hides risk rather than removing it. If a building cannot cover its own capex from operations, the equity funds it either way, and being unlevered just means the loss shows up as forgone distributions instead of a default notice. The case for cash is time. In a sector with an uneven, asset-specific recovery, the ability to wait a decade without needing a lender's permission may be the real edge for a passive holder. Which structure wins likely depends on whether the building is prime or commodity product, since prime assets tend to have more refinancing options and commodity assets tend to benefit more from the optionality of no maturity date.
On a passive office hold today, which structure would you actually sign?
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