When a terms buyer sends a payoff request in month 11, is that the outcome you wanted?
This question stalls a lot of people weighing rural land on terms, and it deserves a straight look. The pitch is that you get a markup plus interest, so a one time flip turns into an income stream. Fine. But read enough operator accounts and you notice how often the income stream ends early. The buyer gets a bonus, or sells, or finds a small local lender willing to look at improved land, and pays the balance. Say cost is $9,000, sale is $26,000, $3,000 down, balance $23,000 on 10 years at a double digit rate. Held to term the interest is a large multiple of the markup. Paid off in month 11, the seller gets the $17,000 gross profit plus about a year of interest and the capital back, and the annualized number is enormous. So which one should a terms seller actually be rooting for? Two views in the room and both look defensible. View one: early payoff is the best outcome. Capital comes back fast, the annualized return is huge, it redeploys into another parcel, and the seller stops carrying default risk and servicing work on that note. Velocity was always the point, and the interest given up was incidental. View two: early payoff wrecks the model. If velocity was the goal, a cash flip skips the servicing entirely. The reason to be the bank is the long tail of interest income, and a portfolio where half the notes pay off inside 18 months is a cash flip business wearing a paper costume. Operators who want the tail write terms and pricing that make holding attractive, whatever the note language in their state allows, which is an attorney question. It is hard to tell whether the people who cheer payoffs are being sensible or making the best of something they did not want.
A terms buyer pays off in month 11. Your reaction?
28 votes