What actually moves the price of a seller-financed note when it trades
A seller-financed note is a promise to pay secured by a house, and the mechanics are simple enough on the surface: the buyer pays the seller monthly instead of paying a bank, the house secures the debt, the seller earns interest. What's less intuitive is why one of these notes trades at 95 cents on the dollar and another trades at 70, when both are structurally the same kind of instrument. The factors that matter most are the size of the down payment, the length and consistency of the borrower's payment history, the interest rate on the paper, and the quality of the collateral if the note ever needs to be foreclosed and the property taken back. Of those four, payment history tends to move price the most in practice. A borrower with twelve or more months of on-time payments has demonstrated behavior a buyer can underwrite with confidence, while a note only a few months old is still mostly a bet on a stranger's intentions, no matter how strong the down payment or the collateral looks on paper. Down payment size matters next, since it's the buyer's skin in the game and a rough proxy for how much they stand to lose by walking away. Rate and collateral quality matter, but they tend to set the ceiling on price rather than the floor, once the payment history and the down payment have been weighed.
Single biggest driver of what a seller-carried note sells for?
17 votes