Closed-end timber fund PPM against buying a tract myself: the fee stack is eating the whole premium
Sitting with a PPM for a closed-end timberland fund, ten year term with two one-year extensions, and running it against the 400-odd acre direct purchase I've been working on. Trying to decide where the same 600,000 goes.
Fund terms as written: 1.25 percent management fee on committed capital during the investment period, then on invested capital, 20 percent carry over an 8 percent preferred return, catch-up in favor of the manager, plus a 0.5 percent acquisition fee and property management fees paid to an affiliate at market rates. Target net return stated as 7 to 9 percent. The document is careful to say targets aren't guarantees, which I appreciate more than most marketing I read.
My problem is the arithmetic. If timberland delivers something in the high single digits gross, and the long-run index number people cite is around 10.7 percent since 1987 with volatility near 7 percent, then a target of 7 to 9 net after that fee stack implies gross returns at or above the long-run average in a period where several institutional analysts are openly cautious on near-term timber returns and closed-end timber fundraising has been slow. Either the manager expects to beat the index materially, or the net target is optimistic, or the affiliate management fees are more modest than the phrase "market rates" suggests.
What the fund gives me that I can't build myself is geographic and species diversification, a professional forestry team, and access to institutional-quality tracts with mills competing for the wood. What it takes away is my control of harvest timing, which is the specific thing I like about the asset class. Ten years plus extensions, and I can't defer a harvest to suit my own view.
I've asked for the affiliate fee schedule in writing and for the prior fund's realized returns net of everything. Haven't received either. Question is whether that silence is the answer, or normal for a first data request.