A DSCR refinance at 1.02 coverage froze my portfolio for two years
Four properties, all done the same way, all bought distressed and rehabbed and rented. The first two refinanced in the low-rate stretch and behaved exactly the way the strategy is supposed to behave. I got essentially all my capital back and rolled straight into the next one.
Property three is where I made the mistake, and I made it in the loan file rather than on the property. The appraisal supported a cash-out that would have returned about 80% of my invested capital. To get to that number I had to accept a loan amount where the debt service coverage ratio penciled at 1.02. The lender's minimum was 1.00 so it cleared. I read the term sheet, I understood the number, and I took the maximum proceeds because the whole point of the method is recycling capital.
What 1.02 means in practice is that the property produces about 40 dollars a month above principal, interest, taxes and insurance, before a single repair. First year: water heater, then a partial roof, then a tenant who left owing two months. The property went cash-negative and I funded it out of the reserve I'd built for property four. Then property four's rehab ran over and I funded that out of the same pot. Now I have four rentals, decent equity, and no dry powder, and I have not bought anything in twenty-two months.
The underwriting error was treating the lender's DSCR floor as my target instead of their floor. A 1.02 loan is a loan that only works if nothing happens. The other thing I'd do differently is stop measuring a BRRRR by percentage of capital returned. Getting 80% back on a property that then eats 500 a month is worse than getting 55% back on a property that clears 300. I optimized the visible number and paid for it in the invisible one.
Curious whether anyone here holds a hard personal DSCR floor above what their lender requires, and where you set it.