I bought with a number in my head and the number was wrong before I even closed
Bought a condo in Cleveland, 2022, priced it off what I thought the market would do in 18 months. I was not accounting for what I would actually net after the HOA assessment that hit in month four, the special levy for the parking structure repair, and the property tax adjustment that came through six months post-close. None of those were surprises in the sense that I could not have found them. I just did not go find them. The levy alone was $4,800 and I had budgeted zero for it because I had not asked the HOA for the reserve study before I signed. I have the reserve study now. It is 47 pages and I read it twice after the fact, which is exactly backwards. Now I have a duplex in Akron closing in a few weeks and I pulled the reserve equivalent, got the sewer inspection, and called the city about any pending assessments on the parcel. The Akron property is not a live-in flip but the discipline is the same thing. You do not find the real number by calculating harder on the number you already have. You go find the costs that are not in the listing and are not in the inspection report and are not in anything a seller volunteers. The Cleveland condo taught me that I was treating purchase price as the problem to solve, when purchase price is almost the easiest part.