Spring market is here at month 19 and the tax rule wants five more

Before anything else, pull the actual dates and count them out on paper. Ownership and use are two separate tests and the days of use don't have to be consecutive, they have to add up inside a five year window. People assume the clock starts at closing and it starts at whichever event they can document. Your CPA has it, fine, but you should be able to say the two dates out loud without looking. I've watched someone lose a large exclusion because they counted from the day the movers came instead of the day the deed recorded, and recording practice differs by state so even that date isn't always the one you think.

I'm reading along and want to make sure I follow. The two years isn't about how long you owned it for the profit to be long term, it's a separate rule that lets you exclude gain on a home you actually lived in? So marlow already gets long term treatment at 19 months, and the extra five months is only about the exclusion?

@juniper yes, those are two different things. Holding past a year changes the rate on a taxable gain. The residency rule is what can take the gain off the table entirely, up to $250k single and $500k married filing jointly, and it needs two of the last five years of both owning and living there. Marlow, that's why the five months is worth so much more than five months of anything else you could do.

Put a number on it and the argument mostly ends.

$87k gain. Long term rate plus state, call it 15% federal and whatever your state does, and you're somewhere around $15k to $22k of tax if you sell now. Say $18k as a middle. That is the price of listing in April.

So the question is whether August costs you more than $18k of price. You said last August the street sat 70 days and two houses cut. Go get those two houses and find out what they cut, in dollars, from original list. If they cut $10k on a $480k house, August costs you less than the tax and you hold. If they cut $35k, spring is cheaper and you pay the tax and stop thinking about it.

The assumption doing all the work here is that $505k is real in April. Broker walkthrough numbers on a house that isn't finished are aspirational. @harrow is right that an unfinished spring listing doesn't get finished spring pricing, and if the honest April number is $485k anyway then you've given up the exclusion for nothing.

One more line in your math: five extra months of mortgage, taxes, insurance and utilities. On a $312k purchase that's maybe $10k to $12k. But you'd be paying to live somewhere in those five months regardless, so only count the difference between this house and whatever you'd rent. For most people that's a small number, sometimes negative.

Your own post sounds to me like you want out and you're looking for permission. That's a real reason. It just isn't a tax reason, and it should get counted separately.

Sequencing point since nobody's said it. If you're holding to August anyway, don't spend those five months doing more work. Finish the punch list, stop. I've watched live-in flippers add a $14k project in month 20 because they had time, and the time was free but the money wasn't and the appraiser didn't care about the new patio.

Your 6% selling cost, does that include transfer tax? Depends entirely on your state and in some places it's nothing and in others it's a real line. Also staging and the pre-list repairs the inspector finds. I'd budget 7% until you have a quote.

Is there any middle version? Like if he sold at 22 months for a job move or a health thing, does he get part of the exclusion instead of none? I've read there's a reduced version for certain reasons and I don't know if wanting spring pricing is one of them.

@compass the partial version exists for specific circumstances and market timing is not on that list as far as I understand it, but that's a question for the CPA who already has the file.

Marlow, I think you're overweighting seasonality. I've sold in August twice and the story about summer being dead is mostly a story people tell because inventory sits longer, and inventory sitting longer isn't the same as prices being lower. Days on market went up, my price didn't move. Get the actual cut data @flint asked for before you let a $20k discount live in your head rent free.

The part I'd sit with is your last paragraph. You said you don't want a second one and you want income. Then the real decision isn't April versus August, it's what the $87k does after closing, and that's a bigger conversation than five months. I hit this same wall on my third deal. The tax treatment on a live-in flip is genuinely good and it is also the slowest way to compound anything, because your money is stuck in a house you sleep in for two years at a time. Take the exclusion if the numbers say so, and then decide honestly whether you're a flipper at all.