First LP deal is mixed-use. How do I read the retail half?
A friend from work put me in front of a sponsor doing a mixed-use redevelopment and I've got the offering documents open. $50k minimum, and I have questions I'd be embarrassed to ask the sponsor because I think he'd take it as a signal I'm not serious.
What the deal is: existing three story building in a growing suburban downtown, 18 apartments on floors two and three that they're renovating, and 9,000 sf of ground floor they're releasing. Total raise is $4.2M against a $9.8M project cost. Five year hold, and the projections show a preferred return to LPs before the sponsor takes a split. I understand roughly what a preferred return is, money to me first up to a rate, then we share. I know projections are projections.
What I can't evaluate: about a third of the projected income at stabilization comes from the retail, and the model has three tenants at rents I have no way to check. Two are described as letters of intent, one is described as prospective. The apartment side I can almost sanity check by looking at what similar apartments in that town rent for on listing sites. The retail I cannot. I don't know what a fair ground floor rent is in a suburban downtown, I don't know how long it takes to lease a bay, and I don't know what happens to my preferred return if the retail leases at half the assumed rent.
The sponsor has done four deals, two of them mixed-use, and says both exited above projection. I haven't asked for the actual numbers on those yet.
So the specific thing on my desk: what do I ask for, and what would tell me this is a deal I don't understand well enough to be in?