How an LP who read the whole agreement still went from 4.2 percent of the common to 1.9 percent.
A case worth studying closely, because the clause that did the damage was one the investor read and did not weigh properly. Take an LP who puts $150k into a six park value add deal, 890 lots across three states, reads every page of the LP agreement and the PPM twice and marks it up, and still loses most of the position. The deal is a $34M purchase with a $24.5M bridge loan, floating, three year term with two six month extensions. Lot rents average $295 against a market case of $415. The plan is 24 months of rent push and occupancy fill, then agency takeout. Equity is $11.5M, the LP is 1.3 percent of it, call it 4.2 percent of the common after the sponsor's promote structure, and the pref is 8 percent cumulative. What happens. The rate cap the sponsor bought covers 24 months of a 36 month loan. Debt service goes from roughly $1.6M to $2.35M when the cap rolls off. Rents do move, $295 to $368, slower than modeled because two of the six parks sit in a city that starts drafting a manufactured housing rent ordinance and the sponsor pulls back on increases there. NOI gets to $2.55M against a $3.4M model. Debt yield comes in at 10.4 against the 12 the agency exit needs. So at month 30 the lender wants a $3.1M paydown and a new cap. The sponsor brings in rescue preferred at 14 percent with a 1.4 multiple minimum, $6M. The LP agreement lets the GP admit new preferred senior to the common without LP consent if it is needed to cure a default or avoid one. The investor read that clause and assumed "cure a default" was narrow. It was not. The new preferred sits ahead of the 8 percent cumulative pref, which is now accrued and also ahead of the common. The position goes from 4.2 percent to 1.9 percent and sits behind roughly $9M of accrued and preferred capital on a portfolio that might be worth $38M. Not zero. Not what was bought. What to do differently. Model the rate cap expiry as a base case rather than a stress case, since a cap that expires before loan maturity is a repricing you know is coming, and ask for the pro forma debt yield at the takeout so you can work backward to what NOI has to be instead of reading the NOI growth as the answer. Above all, negotiate for LP consent on any senior capital, or at minimum a preemptive right to participate in it pro rata, which is the thing that would actually preserve the position.