Read the whole LP agreement and still went from 4.2 percent to 1.9
$150k into a six-park value-add deal, 890 lots, three states. I read every page of the LP agreement and the PPM, twice, and marked it up. I still lost most of my position, and the clause that did it was one I read and did not weigh properly.
The deal. $34M purchase, $24.5M bridge loan, floating, three year term with two six-month extensions. Lot rents averaged $295 against a market case of $415. Plan was 24 months of rent push and occupancy fill, then agency takeout. Equity was $11.5M, I was 1.3 percent of it, call it 4.2 percent of the common after the sponsor's promote structure, and the pref was 8 percent cumulative.
What happened. The rate cap they bought covered 24 months of a 36 month loan. Debt service went from roughly $1.6M to $2.35M when the cap rolled off. Rents did move, $295 to $368, slower than modeled because two of the six parks are in a city that started drafting a manufactured housing rent ordinance and the sponsor pulled back on increases there. NOI got to $2.55M against a $3.4M model. Debt yield came in at 10.4 against the 12 the agency exit needed.
So at month 30 the lender wanted a $3.1M paydown and a new cap. The sponsor brought in rescue preferred at 14 percent with a 1.4 multiple minimum, $6M. The LP agreement let the GP admit new preferred senior to the common without LP consent if it was needed to cure a default or avoid one. I had read that clause. I thought "cure a default" was narrow. It wasn't.
The new preferred sits ahead of the 8 percent cumulative pref, which is now accrued and also ahead of me. My common went from 4.2 percent to 1.9 percent and it's behind roughly $9M of accrued and preferred capital on a portfolio that might be worth $38M. Not zero. Not what I bought.
What I'd do differently. I'd model the rate cap expiry as a base case rather than a stress case, since a cap that expires before loan maturity is a repricing you know is coming. I'd have asked for the pro forma debt yield at the takeout and worked backward to what NOI had to be, instead of reading the NOI growth as the answer. And I'd have negotiated for LP consent on any senior capital, or at minimum a preemptive right to participate in it pro rata, which is the thing that would have actually preserved my position.