Pay down a 7.1 percent loan with the 90k, or buy paper?
Closed on a small duplex sale last month and after everything cleared there's about 90k. Two options on the table and I keep flipping.
Option one is putting it against a loan on a fourplex I'm keeping. Balance is 218k at 7.1 percent, 24 years left. Paying 90k down doesn't recast the payment unless I ask and pay for a recast, so the effect is mostly finishing earlier and less interest overall.
Option two is mortgage REITs. Yields I'm seeing run 11 to 13 percent, they're liquid, and I don't have to manage anything. The pitch that got my attention is that banks have stepped back from real estate lending and these things are on the other side of that, holding the debt and earning the spread.
My hesitation is that option one is a guaranteed 7.1 percent with no price risk and no counterparty, and option two is an 11 percent that might actually be 3 percent after book value erosion, or negative, depending on what rates do.
What I don't know how to weigh is that the loan paydown is illiquid. Once the money is in that building I need a refinance or a sale to see it again, and I'm at the stage where flexibility has been worth more than yield twice already. Haven't decided.