A 4 percent contingency on 48 ground up units, who eats the overrun
Take a common equity position in a ground up multifamily deal on a portal. 48 units, wood frame over podium parking, total capitalization $11.2M. Hard costs come in at $165 a square foot, 24 month build, construction loan at 65% loan to cost with a 12 month interest reserve on a 24 month term. $165 a foot for podium construction reads as a 2021 number in most markets, and an interest reserve that covers only half the loan term is worth sitting with. If the build runs long, and builds run long, the reserve is exhausted and someone is writing checks for debt service out of pocket in month 13 with zero rental income coming in. Contingency is 4% of hard costs, about $310k. A conservative ground up underwrite generally wants 8%, and even at that level a soils report that comes back wetter than the borings suggested can absorb the whole amount without anything dramatic happening. Equity raise is $3.4M, minimum $25k. The offering says the sponsor provides a completion guaranty to the lender. Worth understanding is whether that guaranty does anything for an LP, or whether it just means the lender gets a finished building while the equity funds the finishing. And if there is an overrun beyond the guaranty, is that a capital call to the LPs or dilution. The 140 page document set usually has the answer buried in the completion guaranty and capital call sections, worth reading closely before committing.