Four doors in a town of 4,000 or two doors forty minutes from a job center
Real comparison off my list this month. A fourplex in a small town, 4,000 people, one large employer, 185k asking, four units renting 575 to 650. Gross around 29k. And a duplex in a commuter town outside a mid-size metro, 310k, two units at 1,275, gross 30,600.
On price per dollar of rent the small town wins easily. Cap rate on my numbers pencils near eight before I get scared of it, which is above the range this room usually talks about for small multifamily. The duplex is closer to six and a half.
What the small town has going against it: the one employer. If that plant slows, I've got four vacancies at once in a place with no second tenant pool, and the building I paid 185k for isn't worth 185k anymore. The chapter for this room makes a lot of the fact that multiple units diversify vacancy risk, and I think that's true across tenants and mostly false across a single-employer town. Four doors on one street sharing one labor market isn't four independent bets.
The duplex has a deeper tenant pool and worse cash flow, and every repair costs the metro price.
I've owned in small markets before and I still can't decide whether the cap spread is compensation or a warning.
Which would you rather buy?
27 votes