A 498k triplex in Akron versus a passive LP position in a Memphis fourplex syndication for the same 125k
Here is a comparison worth working through, because the same 125k can go two very different places. The Akron triplex is listed at 498k, two units rented at 925 and 975, third unit vacant, and the seller says it needs about 18k in work before it shows well. At 25% down that is 124,500 plus closing costs plus the 18k, so the buyer is in at roughly 155k before reserves. Pro forma rents when stabilized are 3,075 gross, which at a 7% vacancy assumption and operating expenses around 38% gets to maybe 8,400 annually, call it a 5.4% cash-on-cash on actual cash deployed. That buyer is also the one dealing with Akron code enforcement and the vacant unit, and the one reading the leases on the two existing tenants. The Memphis syndication asks 125k minimum for an LP position in a 24-unit fourplex portfolio. Projected 7% preferred return, five-year hold, projected IRR in the 13 to 15% range on the deal summary. Anyone who has read a few K-1s knows projected and actual are two different conversations. Memphis multifamily has been getting bid up, and an exit cap assumption of 6.1% is hard to trust if rates stay where they are. What this comes down to is that the Akron number is real and the Memphis number is a model. But the Akron number also assumes the vacant unit gets solved in under 60 days and that the 18k estimate is honest. The investor's own time has a cost, and pricing it is the hardest line in the whole comparison.