Triplex at 498k in Akron versus a passive position in a Memphis fourplex syndication for the same 125k
Both options are sitting on my desk right now. The Akron triplex is listed at 498k, two units rented at 925 and 975, third unit vacant, seller says it needs about 18k in work before it shows well. At 25% down that's 124,500 plus closing costs plus that 18k, so I'm in at roughly 155k before reserves. Pro forma rents when stabilized are 3,075 gross, which at a 7% vacancy assumption and operating expenses around 38% gets me to maybe 8,400 annually, call it a 5.4% cash-on-cash on actual cash deployed. I'd be the one dealing with Akron code enforcement, the one figuring out that vacant unit, the one reading the lease on the two existing tenants.
The Memphis syndication is asking 125k minimum for an LP position in a 24-unit fourplex portfolio. Projected 7% preferred return, five-year hold, projected IRR in the 13-15% range on the deal summary. I've been in four syndications already so I know how to read a K-1 and I know that projected and actual are two different conversations. Memphis multifamily has been getting bid up and I'm not sure their exit cap assumption of 6.1% holds if rates stay where they are.
What I keep coming back to is that the Akron number is real and the Memphis number is a model. But the Akron number also assumes I solve the vacant unit in under 60 days and that the 18k estimate is honest. My time has a cost I don't know how to price.