Concentrate the whole certificate budget in one county, or spread it across three or four states?
I have a defined amount to place into tax certificates over the next two auction seasons and I keep going back and forth on the shape of it rather than the size.
Case for concentration: one statute to learn, one redemption clock, one clerk's office whose habits you eventually know, one set of forms for starting foreclosure if a certificate goes the distance. Bid patterns in a single county are learnable over a couple of years. You start to know which subdivisions redeem within 90 days and which parcels are landlocked strips nobody wants. Every hour of procedural learning gets amortized over more certificates.
Case for spreading: the yield in a popular county is set by whoever shows up with the most money, and if the bid-down rounds in your one county clear near the floor, concentration means you either take the floor or don't buy. Different states have different statutory rates, different redemption windows, and different premium mechanics, so spreading gives you somewhere to go when one auction turns ugly. It also spreads redemption timing so cash isn't all returning in the same eight weeks.
Against spreading: every new state is a new procedural exposure. Notice requirements, who must be served, how subsequent taxes attach, whether a premium is refunded, all of that varies by state and getting it wrong once can cost more than a year of the extra yield you went looking for.
I don't think this has a clean answer, which is why I'm asking rather than deciding. If you've run certificates across more than one state, I want to hear what actually broke, and if you've stayed in one county on purpose, what you gave up.
If you were placing a first certificate portfolio of real size, how would you spread it?
16 votes