Seventy deeded acres in one county, or a slice of eight hundred through a fund
I have roughly $620k earmarked for a land allocation and two live options that behave nothing alike.
Option one is direct. Around 70 tillable acres in a single county, priced near the USDA cropland average of about $5,830 an acre, plus a chunk for above-average dirt. Cash rent in the area is quoted around $185 to $210, so I'm underwriting a 2.8 to 3.2 percent income return before property tax and management, with whatever appreciation the ground does over 20 years. I'd own the mineral position, I'd control any future solar or wind option, and I'd be the one signing the lease with an operator I'd have to actually vet.
Option two is a private farmland partnership. Diversified across a few hundred acres in three states, professional management, quarterly reporting, target distributions in the same 3 percent zone with fees somewhere around 100 basis points plus a promote on disposition. I get diversification against a single bad tenant or a single bad drainage year. I also get no control, a ten year lockup, and someone else deciding when to sell.
The case for direct is that the fee stack eats a meaningful share of an already modest income return, and the whole reason to hold farmland is the durability of the underlying dirt, which I can hold forever without anyone forcing an exit. The case for the fund is that 70 acres in one county is a concentrated bet on one soil type, one operator, and one local rent market.
I don't have a strong view yet, which is why I'm asking. What would you actually do with a single allocation this size?
One allocation, farmland exposure. Where does it go?
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