The exit is still the part I can't underwrite after nine years of room rents
Five bedroom, two bath, about 1,900 square feet, bought in a college-adjacent submarket and run room by room since. Rooms are 690 to 780, gross sits around 3,650 a month. A whole-house lease to one family in that submarket is maybe 2,250 if I'm generous.
The hold math is settled. I've had nine years to prove it. The exit is where I go in circles.
One side of it: this is a single family house. When it sells, an appraiser pulls three and four bedroom comps down the street and the room roll doesn't travel with the deed. Whoever buys it either lives in it or leases it whole, and my 3,650 becomes a story I tell at closing that changes nothing about the number.
The other side: the buyer pool for a proven room-by-room house isn't what it was when I bought. There are operators who'll look at a stabilized five room roll, a legal third bath if I add one, furniture in place, and pay something above the owner-occupant comp because they don't want to spend a year building it. I've seen listings priced that way. I haven't seen the closings.
What I'm actually asking is which number goes in the terminal value line when I'm deciding whether to keep holding or roll into land. If it's comp value, my nine years of income density was cash flow only and I should stop pretending otherwise. If a real operator bid exists, the exit is worth more than my spreadsheet says.
Curious how the room splits, because I don't think there's a settled answer.
When you underwrite the exit on a single family house run room by room, what value do you put in?
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