Reading a 9.75 percent debt offering with an appraisal that doesn't hold up
Take a debt offering on a deal-by-deal platform: a first position bridge loan on a 220 unit self storage facility in a midwest town of about 9,000 people. Loan amount 4.1m against a 6.0m appraised value, 68 percent LTV on paper. The appraisal is over a year old and was written on stabilized occupancy the property has never actually reached. Current physical occupancy sits at 71 percent. Stated rate to the borrower is 11.5 percent over a 24 month term, with two six month extension options at 0.5 percent each. Investors are offered 9.75 percent, meaning the platform keeps 175 basis points of spread plus a 1 percent origination fee that comes off the top and doesn't go into the loan basis. Two things worth stress testing in a structure like this. First, the interest reserve typically funds only the first several months, after which the borrower services the loan out of operations, and at 71 percent occupancy coverage can land uncomfortably close to 1.0x, meaning any softness in street rates pushes it under. Second, when the platform holds the note through a single purpose entity and investors hold a participation interest in that entity, the investor is a creditor of the SPE rather than of the borrower directly, which changes what recovery looks like in a workout and is genuinely hard to price. A third, less quantifiable factor: extension options that belong to the borrower rather than the lender mean a 24 month term can become 36 at the borrower's election, for an extra 50 basis points. Anyone weighing capital into this kind of offering against holding cash for a deal in a market they can actually drive to should treat that participation layer as the hardest part to underwrite.