The bank wants a stabilized DSCR I can't hit with 5,000 feet empty
Six months of looking and this is the first thing I've written an LOI on, so tell me what I've got wrong.
Secondary midwest city, edge of a downtown that's had two zoning changes in three years, both loosening height and killing parking minimums for this district. Building is 1920s, converted in 2006. 22 apartments, mix of ones and twos, average in-place $1,340, 95% occupied, turnover looks normal. Ground floor is 8,000 sf in three bays. A laundromat has 3,000 sf at $11/sf gross with four years left. A insurance-adjacent office has been in another bay month to month, no lease, pays $1,400 a month for about 1,200 sf. The remaining 5,000 sf was a furniture showroom that went dark eighteen months ago and it's a big glass box with a 14 foot ceiling and no HVAC of its own.
Ask is $2.9M. My residential NOI, with 6% vacancy, 8% management, $350 per unit per year capex, taxes and insurance actuals, comes to about $196k. Laundromat contributes roughly $22k net after I strip the gross lease costs out. Month to month tenant I'm carrying at zero because he can leave in 30 days. So call it $218k against $2.9M, a 7.5 cap before I touch the empty box.
The bank quoted 5-year fixed, 25-year am, full recourse, and said they underwrite to 1.25 on stabilized NOI including a market rent assumption for vacant space with a lease-up reserve held back. I'm confirming all of that in writing. The reserve is the part I don't understand the size of yet.
The 5,000 sf is the whole deal. At $15 NNN it's $75k a year and this becomes a very different building. At zero it's a dead 5,000 sf that I heat. Two brokers have told me a food hall or a gym would take it, one told me to demise it into three small bays at $20 and lease to service tenants, which costs demising walls and separate meters and probably $200k I don't have.
What's the actual question I should be asking before my LOI turns into a contract?