The lot operator wants a five-year term and I want flexibility if the area rezones.
A shorter term, say two or three years, keeps optionality alive but the operator prices that in through a lower guaranteed rent, because they need to amortize their setup costs over fewer months. A five-year deal typically pays more per month precisely because the operator is confident they will recapture their ramp-up period. The question is whether the rent premium on the longer term is worth more than the ability to exit cleanly if a developer calls. One way to think through it: if the premium on a five-year deal is $800 a month over a three-year deal, that is $9,600 a year, and you are buying optionality for $9,600 annually. Whether that is cheap or expensive depends entirely on how live the rezoning conversation actually is. If the city has not touched the zoning map near you in a decade, you are probably paying $9,600 a year for nothing. If there is an active corridor study two blocks away, the shorter term may be worth giving up the rent. What does your operator's proposed agreement say about early termination, and is there a buyout clause tied to a development trigger?