The sponsor said retail drag was the risk. It was also the reason the deal penciled.
I almost passed on the Shreveport mixed use because of the ground floor retail. Everybody I talked to said the same thing, commercial vacancy eats your NOI, retail tenants take forever to stabilize, the residential component has to carry too much weight. I heard that enough times that I nearly believed it. The deal sat in my inbox for eleven days while I second-guessed it. I went in as an LP at $50,000 in Q3 2021, and the retail ended up leasing to a regional urgent care operator on a seven-year NNN before the building even hit certificate of occupancy. That one tenant covered roughly 38% of the debt service from month one. The residential floors stabilized at 94% by month eight. My last distribution statement put me at a 9.1% annualized cash return through the first twelve months, which is ahead of the 7.5% pref I underwrote to. I am not saying retail is always fine. I am saying the specific retail risk in that deal was a lease-up timeline risk, and the sponsor had a letter of intent from the urgent care group before we even closed. I did not find that in the offering document. I found it when I asked a direct question in the Q&A period and got an actual answer. The people who passed on that deal were not wrong about retail in general. They did not ask the follow-up question.