Selling a partial off a 15 year land contract to recycle capital, what discount should a seller expect?
The capital recycling math on the owner-finance model stops making sense at a certain point, and it is worth working through exactly where. Say basis is $28,000 all in on 40 acres. The parcel sells at $68,000 with $6,000 down, 9 percent over 15 years, and the payment lands near $629. That leaves $22,000 of the operator's own money sitting in a note for a decade and a half, which kills the ability to do the next four deals. The answer usually given is sell a partial, meaning the first N payments go to a note buyer and the operator keeps the tail. What yield do land contract buyers actually price at on unseasoned paper, and how do they treat the fact that the $68,000 price includes a premium for offering terms? The safe assumption is that they underwrite to their own value opinion and ignore the contract price. If they haircut the land to say $30,000 of value, does a partial even clear basis?