Pricing the UBIT on a 58 percent levered fund before committing Roth money
Six months of no deals, but I've finally got a real decision instead of a spreadsheet.
Roth self-directed IRA, 168k. A value-add fund I've been tracking is open for another five weeks. Minimum 100k, I'd do 150k. Fund level debt at 58 percent LTC, targeting a five year hold, distributions quarterly starting month 14.
Sponsor sent three years of prior fund K-1s when I asked, which I appreciated. Box 20V on the two stabilized years came back at 340 and 890 per 100k invested. Year one was negative. So on 150k I'm looking at maybe 1,300 of UBTI in a normal year, which is barely over the filing threshold and would cost me a few hundred in tax plus whatever the 990-T prep runs. Call it 800 all in per year, against roughly 9,000 of pref. Under 10 percent drag.
Exit is what I can't model. If the fund sells at a 40 percent gain on a 58 percent levered basis, a big chunk of that gain comes through as debt-financed in the year of sale, and it hits trust rates that top out fast. I've seen people say the average debt over the prior twelve months is what matters, and that sponsors sometimes pay debt down before a sale for exactly this reason. This sponsor's PPM says nothing either way.
So: do I ask them to commit in writing to a paydown, knowing they'll say no? Do I size down to 100k so the exit-year bill is smaller? Or is 150k in a Roth still the right home for this and I'm optimizing a rounding error?