Master lease or management agreement on a 210-unit independent living lite asset, both drafts on my desk
I have two drafts in front of me for the same building and I have to pick one this month.
The asset: 210 units, independent living with a light service package, meals and housekeeping included in rent, no personal care. Occupancy 88 percent and climbing about a point a quarter for the last four quarters. Projected EBITDAR for next year is $5.2M on $14.8M of revenue.
Option A, master lease to the operator. Year one rent $4.1M with 2.5 percent annual bumps, 15 year term, two five-year extensions. That's 1.27x coverage on the projected EBITDAR. Security deposit of six months rent, corporate guarantee from an entity whose financials I've seen exactly one year of.
Option B, management agreement. Operator takes 5 percent of gross revenues, plus an incentive of 15 percent of NOI above 90 percent of budget. Three year term, terminable on 90 days for cause and 180 days without.
What's pulling me each way:
The lease gives me a fixed number and hands the operating upside to the operator. At 88 percent occupancy with the demand picture in this sector, handing over the upside for the next 15 years for a 2.5 percent escalator feels like I'm selling the recovery cheap. The coverage looks fine today and I know what happens to coverage in year eight of a fixed escalator if expenses run faster than 2.5.
The management agreement keeps the upside and gives me the operating risk, the payroll, and the reporting burden. There are also tax structure consequences to holding operations directly that I'm getting professional advice on separately.
The thing I keep circling is the guarantee. One year of financials on the guarantor and a six month deposit against a 15 year obligation. What would you want to see before you took that?