Master lease or management agreement on a 210 unit independent living asset, with a thin guarantee behind the lease
Here is a decision worth working through as a scenario, because it comes up on nearly every independent living asset that changes hands. An owner has two drafts for the same building and has to pick one this month. The asset: 210 units, independent living with a light service package, meals and housekeeping included in rent, no personal care. Occupancy 88 percent and climbing about a point a quarter for the last four quarters. Projected EBITDAR for next year is $5.2M on $14.8M of revenue. Option A, master lease to the operator. Year one rent $4.1M with 2.5 percent annual bumps, 15 year term, two five year extensions. That is 1.27x coverage on the projected EBITDAR. Security deposit of six months rent, corporate guarantee from an entity that has produced exactly one year of financials. Option B, management agreement. Operator takes 5 percent of gross revenues, plus an incentive of 15 percent of NOI above 90 percent of budget. Three year term, terminable on 90 days for cause and 180 days without. What pulls each way. The lease gives the owner a fixed number and hands the operating upside to the operator. At 88 percent occupancy with the demand picture in this sector, handing over the upside for the next 15 years for a 2.5 percent escalator looks like selling the recovery cheap. The coverage looks fine today, and anyone who has held one of these knows what happens to coverage in year eight of a fixed escalator if expenses run faster than 2.5. The management agreement keeps the upside and hands the owner the operating risk, which means payroll and the reporting burden. There are also tax structure consequences to holding operations directly that belong with the owner's own advisors. The point worth circling is the guarantee. One year of financials on the guarantor and a six month deposit against a 15 year obligation. What would you want to see before you took that?