Buying from a client I manage for, and my own rent roll argues against it
I've managed this building for six years. Four units, 1970s brick, two-bed each, one shared boiler replaced in 2019, separate electric, one water meter. Owner is 78 and wants out by spring. He offered it to me before listing at 585k.
In-place rents: 1,050 / 1,050 / 1,175 / 900. That's 4,175 a month, 50,100 gross. The 900 unit has been there eleven years and has never had a raise above 25 dollars because the owner asked me not to push. Market for a clean two-bed in that pocket is 1,325 to 1,400. So the pro forma is roughly 5,400 a month if all four turn and get paint, floors, and a real kitchen in two of them.
Actual last-12 expenses off my own statements, so I trust these: taxes 6,880, insurance 3,240, water and sewer 4,110, common electric 620, landscaping and snow 2,400, repairs 5,940, management 4,008 (my own fee, which goes away). Call it 27,200 without management, so NOI around 22,900 on in-place rents. At 585k that's a 3.9 cap. On the pro forma it's about 37,000 NOI, 6.3 cap. Same building, two completely different deals.
What I'm unsure of: I know exactly how long turns take in this building because I've done them, and it isn't fast. Two units are 90s-era kitchens on original cabinet boxes. The 900 tenant pays on the first every month and has never called me. Pushing her out to get 1,350 is a real cost I keep pricing at zero.
Down payment I can reach is 20 percent with reserves left over. I have not gotten a written quote yet.
Decision in front of me: offer 545 with a 60-day diligence window and eat the turnover risk, or tell him to list it, keep the management contract, and stay a manager on this one.