Pricing plan B on a rural subject to deal at 3.25 percent
Here is a scenario worth working through together. Small town, population under 4,000, about 40 minutes from anything. Three bed two bath on 5.1 acres, well and septic, built 1996. The seller has a job transfer she cannot refuse and is two payments behind. Numbers taken off the payoff statement from the servicer portal. Balance 148,400 at 3.25 percent with 22 years left. PITI of 1,090, made up of 802 principal and interest, 178 taxes, 110 insurance. Arrears including late fees 2,340. She wants 18,000 for her equity, all cash at closing. A value opinion runs 198,000 to 208,000 off four sales in the last 14 months, two of them acreage and two not, so the spread is honest rather than false precision. Market rent is soft at 1,275 to 1,400, and rural vacancy runs longer than anyone would like. That puts a buyer in for roughly 20,340 plus closing and title, call it 22,500. A payment of 1,090 against rent underwritten at 1,300 leaves 210 a month before anything breaks, on a well and a septic that nobody has inspected. Plan B is the part that resists pricing. If the lender calls the loan, the exit is a refinance, and a small rural DSCR refinance on a property running a 1.19 DSCR is not obviously fundable at anything close to what the payoff requires. Selling into a market like that takes six to nine months on the low end. So the contingency is real and it is slow and expensive, which raises the honest question of how many months of reserve this actually needs rather than how many feel comfortable. The other open item is whether to pay the equity in cash at all, or put 6,000 down and carry 12,000 on a note behind the existing loan to keep dry powder against the call risk. A seller in that position often has not pushed back on either idea, because nobody has asked her yet.