9% in a bridge fund or 13% plus two points on one second. Probably picking wrong.
I have 60,000 that has been sitting in a savings account doing very little and I have spent two months looking at exactly two options. I want the version that works, so I'm putting both in front of people who will find the hole.
Option A. A pooled bridge fund, local, been running six years. Targets 9 to 10% paid quarterly, first lien only, states a maximum of 70% of cost across the portfolio, 1.5% management fee, 50,000 minimum, two year lockup and then quarterly redemption with 60 days notice. A fund interest is a security and I'll have an attorney read the offering documents before I do anything, so please don't spend replies on that part.
Option B. A direct second position loan on one flip. Borrower has done six of these, I've seen photos of four. Purchase 210,000, rehab 70,000, ARV he says 380,000. Senior lender is in for 240,000. My 60,000 sits behind it. 13% interest only monthly, 2 points to me at funding, 8 month term, personal guaranty, second deed of trust recorded.
What I keep circling. Total debt would be 300,000. That's 79% of his ARV, which sounds survivable. Against his actual cost of 280,000 it's 107%, so the senior and I together are funding more than the project costs. He says the extra covers closing, points and eight months of carry, and when I add those up I get roughly 318,000 all in, meaning he has about 18,000 of his own money in a deal where I have 60,000.
That's the number that keeps me awake. Not the ARV.
On the fund I get 9%, diversified across maybe forty loans, all senior, and I can't touch the money for two years. On the direct deal I get 13% plus 1,200 in points on an eight month clock, and if the senior forecloses my choices are cure their loan or watch my 60,000 go.
Four points of spread for that. I can't decide if that's cheap or if I'm just bad at pricing fear.