Your own capital into gap pieces, or place other people's and keep the fee
Bridge and construction has been the fastest growing corner of private credit for a while now, something above 12 percent a year in what I've read, and the demand side makes sense to me. Banks pulled back, seniors size tighter, and borrowers show up 40 or 60k short with a closing date. Two different businesses sit on top of that and I can't decide which one is the better thing to build.
One is putting my own money into gap and bridge pieces. Full yield, high teens on some of what I've been shown, and full loss when a borrower's exit doesn't come. Slow to scale because it's capped by what I have.
The other is originating and placing. You find the borrower, you underwrite, you hand the deal to lenders who fund it, and you take an origination fee. No principal at risk, scales with relationships rather than capital, and the income arrives at closing instead of nine months later. The obvious cost is that you get paid once and you own the relationship for the whole term. When the exit slips, both sides call you, and you have no economics left in the deal to pay for the work. There's also the question of what you're allowed to do. Brokering loans can require a license depending on the state and the property type, and pooling other people's money into a fund is a securities question that needs a lawyer before it needs a pitch deck.
I lean service side generally, which is exactly why I'm probably biased here. Where would you put the year?
Building around gap and bridge capital, which shape would you pick for the next year?
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