When does the promote actually pay under an 8 percent compounding pref and a 70/30 split to a 15 percent IRR
Here is a waterfall worth working through, because the promote in it is thinner than the term sheet suggests. It is the kind of structure a lender sees from the debt side for years and then has to reread the moment the seat changes to LP in a deal from a borrower they have financed before. Take a $40M purchase with a $26M senior loan, interest only, and $14M of equity with the sponsor in for 5 percent of it. The waterfall is an 8 percent pref compounding annually on unreturned capital, then 70/30 to the LPs until a 15 percent LP IRR, then 50/50. Acquisition fee of 1.5 percent, asset management fee of 1.5 percent a year on invested equity, plus a 1 percent disposition fee. Five year hold, going in cap of 5.0 on in-place NOI, exit underwritten at 5.25. If nothing is distributed along the way, the pref alone accrues about $6.5M, so roughly $20.5M has to come back before the 30 percent band opens, and that band closes somewhere around $26M to $27M of LP proceeds. That is a narrow strip. Either the promote is an option that only pays in the good case, or the accrual is being mis-modeled. If it is the former, the question for the room is what makes a deal like this worth a sponsor's time.