First deal as GP, and I can't make the promote worth the guaranty
Under contract on 64 units, 1983 vintage, two-story garden walkups in a secondary southeast submarket. Where the numbers sit today:
Purchase 6.4M (100k a door) Reno 1.12M (40 classic units at 28k, plus HVAC replacement on 14 of them) Closing, financing costs and rate cap 350k Operating and capex reserve 300k Total basis 8.17M
Bridge debt at 65% of cost, 5.31M, 36 months with two six-month extension options, floating, cap required by the lender. Equity 2.86M. I'm in for 150k of my own and raising 2.7M.
In place average rent is 945 at 96% occupancy with roughly 8% loss to lease. Renovated comps in the submarket trade at 1,225 to 1,260. I'm underwriting 1,180 to leave room, so 235 of premium on 28k of spend, about a 10% return on cost.
Waterfall as drafted: 8% pref, cumulative, non-compounding, then 70/30 to a 13% IRR, then 50/50 above. 2% acquisition fee, 1.5% asset management on effective gross revenue, 1% disposition.
My sticking point is the back end. My year 5 stabilized NOI pencils around 585k. At a 5.75 exit cap that's 10.17M. Pay off the loan and the LPs roughly double in five years, IRR in the mid teens. My promote across the whole hold is about 480k, and the second tier barely gets touched. Push the exit cap to 6.25 and the promote evaporates while I'm still the one who signed the guaranty.
Two decisions this week. Do I waive the acquisition fee and put that 128k into co-invest so the first-time-sponsor conversation gets easier, or keep it because it's the only money in this deal that isn't contingent? And do I go to a 7% pref with 50/50 over a 15% IRR, which pays me more if I execute and less if it limps?
Still unsure whether 300k of reserves survives a 40 unit turn schedule, and I'm the guy who talks about scope creep for a living.